Table 4 Sample sizes and distributional statistics for assessment of model accuracy in this study of post-fire tree mortality models. Data are from the USA, from fires occurring from 1981 to 2016. R-A = Ryan and Amman model, which can be applied to many species; Pre-fire models predict morality after fire based on predictors available before fire; Post-fire models predict morality after fire based on predictors available after fire. Dead and live tree status is for three years post fire, unless otherwise noted. Damage variables are defined in Table 2 and model formulae are presented in Tables 5 and 6
Scientific name | Model | Live (n) | Dead (n) | Total (n) | Fires (n) | DBH range (cm) | Primary damage variable range | Primary damage variable |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Abies amabilis | R-A | 47 | 64 | 111 | 1 | 17.5 to 113 | 0 to 95 | CVS (%) |
Abies concolor | R-A | 5 401 | 6 729 | 12 193 | 112 | 0.1 to 228.5 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Abies concolor | Pre-fire | 2 075 | 2 253 | 4 328 | 28 | 0.1 to 228.5 | 0 to 100 | CLS (%) |
Abies concolor | Post-fire | 524 | 396 | 920 | 7 | 12.7 to 218.4 | 0 to 100 | CLS (%) |
Abies grandis | R-A | 585 | 1 377 | 1 962 | 17 | 0.4 to 115.6 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Abies lasiocarpa | R-A | 190 | 594 | 784 | 23 | 2.5 to 99.1 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Abies lasiocarpa | Pre-fire | 13 | 260 | 273 | 18 | 2.5 to 99.1 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Abies lasiocarpa a | Post-fire | 40 | 10 | 50 | 7 | 13.5 to 99.1 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Abies magnifica | R-A | 315 | 192 | 507 | 13 | 0.3 to 155.9 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Abies magnifica | Pre-fire | 34 | 19 | 53 | 3 | 3.1 to 129.8 | 0 to 100 | CLS (%) |
Acer rubrum | R-A | 72 | 16 | 88 | 7 | 10.0 to 65.9 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Calocedrus decurrens | R-A | 1 370 | 1 753 | 3 123 | 48 | 0.1 to 182.2 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Calocedrus decurrens | Pre-fire | 468 | 1 107 | 1 575 | 17 | 0.1 to 182.2 | 0 to 100 | CLS (%) |
Chamaecyparis lawsoniana | R-A | 58 | 11 | 69 | 2 | 12.7 to 152.4 | 0 to 98 | CVS (%) |
Cornus nuttallii | R-A | 61 | 55 | 116 | 4 | 10.3 to 25.1 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Juniperus deppeana | R-A | 70 | 50 | 120 | 9 | 0.4 to 192 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Juniperus occidentalis | R-A | 30 | 23 | 53 | 4 | 12.4 to 104 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Juniperus osteosperma | R-A | 117 | 38 | 155 | 15 | 15.7 to 96.4 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Juniperus scopulorum | R-A | 79 | 34 | 113 | 16 | 8.9 to 59.5 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Larix occidentalis | R-A | 952 | 216 | 1 168 | 18 | 0.8 to 119.4 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Larix occidentalis | Pre-fire | 539 | 169 | 708 | 13 | 0.8 to 119.4 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Larix occidentalis | Post-fire | 412 | 125 | 537 | 9 | 14.0 to 119.4 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Notholithocarpus densiflorusa | R-A | 81 | 46 | 53 | 4 | 0.3 to 96.3 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Oxydendrum arboreum | R-A | 164 | 26 | 190 | 9 | 10.0 to 32.8 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus albicaulis | R-A | 79 | 121 | 200 | 7 | 5.9 to 100.8 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus albicaulisa | Pre-fire | 37 | 45 | 82 | 4 | 2.7 to 44.8 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus attenuata | R-A | 97 | 160 | 257 | 7 | 15.1 to 72 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus contorta | R-A | 1 875 | 4 131 | 6 006 | 34 | 0.3 to 102.9 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus contorta | Pre-fire | 618 | 3 093 | 3 711 | 27 | 0.3 to 102.9 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus contorta | Post-fire | 494 | 824 | 1 318 | 8 | 12.7 to 59.9 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus coulteri b | R-A | 58 | 124 | 182 | 1 | 16.5 to 110 | 10 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus echinata | R-A | 62 | 82 | 144 | 7 | 9.6 to 41.5 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus edulis | R-A | 157 | 72 | 229 | 24 | 14.5 to 61 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus elliottii | R-A | 258 | 58 | 316 | 2 | 5.0 to 18.5 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Picea engelmannii | R-A | 205 | 462 | 667 | 27 | 2.2 to 94 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Picea engelmannii | Pre-fire | 106 | 258 | 364 | 19 | 2.2 to 94 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Picea engelmannii | Post-fire | 62 | 173 | 235 | 6 | 13.5 to 94 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus flexilis | R-A | 26 | 50 | 76 | 8 | 3.9 to 79 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus jeffreyi | R-A | 391 | 269 | 660 | 23 | 6.5 to 248.9 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus lambertiana | R-A | 995 | 1 390 | 2 385 | 56 | 0.1 to 205.8 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus lambertiana | Pre-fire | 356 | 573 | 929 | 16 | 0.1 to 205.8 | 0 to 100 | CLS (%) |
Pinus lambertiana | Post-fire | 144 | 62 | 206 | 5 | 15.2 to 179.6 | 0 to 100 | CLS (%) |
Pinus monticola | R-A | 99 | 110 | 209 | 10 | 15.2 to 84.1 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus palustris | R-A | 125 | 78 | 203 | 15 | 4.5 to 58.9 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus palustris | Pre-fire | 125 | 78 | 203 | 15 | 4.5 to 58.9 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus ponderosa | R-A | 28 787 | 14 965 | 43 140 | 226 | 0.1 to 208.3 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus ponderosa | Pre-fire | 24 669 | 13 410 | 38 079 | 216 | 0.1 to 208.3 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus ponderosa | Pre-fire Black Hills | 18 580 | 6 840 | 25 420 | 78 | 0.3 to 208.3 | 0 to 100 | CLS (%) |
Pinus ponderosa | Post-fire scorch | 371 | 224 | 595 | 3 | 7.6 to 120.1 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus ponderosa | Post-fire kill | 366 | 222 | 588 | 3 | 7.6 to 120.1 | 0 to 100 | CVK (%) |
Pinus strobiformis | R-A | 33 | 26 | 59 | 4 | 0.5 to 60.4 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus taeda | R-A | 224 | 101 | 325 | 5 | 10.1 to 43.3 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pinus virginiana | R-A | 26 | 24 | 50 | 6 | 10.8 to 42.4 | 0 to 91 | CVS (%) |
Populus deltoides ssp. wislizeni b | R-A | 24 | 110 | 134 | 2 | 4.0 to 38 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Populus tremuloides | R-A | 391 | 474 | 865 | 26 | 0.3 to 59.9 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Populus tremuloides | Pre-fire low | 31 | 260 | 291 | 9 | 0.3 to 59.9 | 0 to 19 | BCH (m) |
Populus tremuloides | Pre-fire moderate | 31 | 260 | 291 | 9 | 0.3 to 59.9 | 0 to 19 | BCH (m) |
Pseudotsuga menziesii | R-A | 9 255 | 5 921 | 15 176 | 84 | 0.2 to 226.2 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pseudotsuga menziesii | Pre-fire | 8 271 | 5 332 | 13 603 | 75 | 0.2 to 226.2 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Pseudotsuga menziesii | Post-fire | 166 | 55 | 221 | 3 | 10.2 to 88.4 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Quercus alba | R-A | 88 | 12 | 100 | 9 | 10.3 to 55 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Quercus gambelii | R-A | 318 | 94 | 412 | 19 | 2.3 to 80 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Quercus garryana | R-A | 101 | 11 | 112 | 4 | 11.4 to 41.9 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Quercus kelloggii | R-A | 219 | 184 | 403 | 28 | 0.3 to 97.2 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Quercus montana | R-A | 95 | 12 | 107 | 8 | 10 to 63.2 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Thuja plicata | R-A | 113 | 313 | 426 | 5 | 12.7 to 135.6 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Tsuga heterophylla | R-A | 337 | 1 164 | 1 501 | 14 | 12.7 to 199.5 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |
Tsuga mertensiana a | R-A | 337 | 223 | 560 | 2 | 5.0 to 89 | 0 to 100 | CVS (%) |