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Table 3 Risk assessment for the effects of fire–climate interactions in subalpine coniferous forest and woodland, high elevation (including aspen; all US Pacific Northwest mountain ranges), for the mid to late twenty-first century. Likelihood and confidence are rated low, moderate, and high. Low likelihood represents consequences that are unlikely (approximately 0 to 33% probability), moderate likelihood represents consequences that are about as likely as not (approximately 33 to 66% probability), high likelihood represents consequences that are likely to very likely (approximately 66 to 100% probability). Low confidence is characterized by low scientific agreement and limited evidence, whereas high confidence is characterized by high scientific agreement and robust evidence, with moderate confidence falling between those two extremes

From: Changing wildfire, changing forests: the effects of climate change on fire regimes and vegetation in the Pacific Northwest, USA

Fire–climate interaction Magnitude of consequences Likelihood of consequences Confidence
Wildfire frequency Moderate increase Moderate High
Wildfire extent Moderate increase Moderate Moderate
Wildfire severity No change to small increase Low Moderate
Reburns No change to small increase Low Moderate
Stress interactions Small increase Moderate Moderate
Regeneration Variable, depending on fire size Moderate Moderate