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Table 7 Example choice sets

From: Assessing the role of short-term weather forecasts in fire manager tactical decision-making: a choice experiment

  Combination of attributes Condition 1 utility Condition 2 utility
Highest utility condition 1* High probability wetting rain, humid, slightly windy, early season, ERC trending upwards toward 90% 180.04 −106.57
Lowest utility condition 2** High probability wetting rain, humid, windy, early season, ERC trending downwards toward 60% 114.57 −156.23
Highest utility condition 2** No rain forecasted, dry, very windy, late season, ERC trending upwards toward 90% −147.89 147.51
Lowest utility condition 1* No rain forecasted, moderate humidity, very windy, late season, ERC stable around 80% −198.71 126.43
Status quo preferred High probability of wetting rain, humid, slightly windy, middle season, ERC trending downwards toward 60% 115.19 −107.93
NONE alternative 154.96 −68.69
  1. *Condition 1 refers to the decision to switch from indirect to direct attack
  2. **Conditions 2 refers to the decision to switch from direct to indirect attack