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Table 7 Example choice sets

From: Assessing the role of short-term weather forecasts in fire manager tactical decision-making: a choice experiment

 

Combination of attributes

Condition 1 utility

Condition 2 utility

Highest utility condition 1*

High probability wetting rain, humid, slightly windy, early season, ERC trending upwards toward 90%

180.04

−106.57

Lowest utility condition 2**

High probability wetting rain, humid, windy, early season, ERC trending downwards toward 60%

114.57

−156.23

Highest utility condition 2**

No rain forecasted, dry, very windy, late season, ERC trending upwards toward 90%

−147.89

147.51

Lowest utility condition 1*

No rain forecasted, moderate humidity, very windy, late season, ERC stable around 80%

−198.71

126.43

Status quo preferred

High probability of wetting rain, humid, slightly windy, middle season, ERC trending downwards toward 60%

115.19

−107.93

NONE alternative

154.96

−68.69

  1. *Condition 1 refers to the decision to switch from indirect to direct attack
  2. **Conditions 2 refers to the decision to switch from direct to indirect attack