Figure 5

Predicted probabilities of a fire occurring on any given 250-m pixel within Aboriginal and European tenures stratified by vegetation type. Shown are prediction surfaces based on the averaged parameters and associated standard error of ten independent binomial GLM models derived from MODIS fire scar data. Only the upper bound of the standard error estimates is visible (in red) because the lower bound is very close to the mean value. The mean total deviance explained was 19.4%.