Skip to main content

Table 6 Fire regime scenarios for the Quebec boreal ecozones.

From: Impact of Climate Change on Forest Fire Severity and Consequences for Carbon Stocks in Boreal Forest Stands of Quebec, Canada: a Synthesis

   Period
Publication Ecozone 2040–2060 2080–2100
Flannigan et al. (2001) Taiga Shield East Boreal Shield East 15% decrease in area burned 50% increase in area burned (south) to 10% decrease in area burned (north) No data No data
Flannigan et al. (2005) Taiga Shield Boreal Shield East No data No data 111% to 112% increase in area burned 64% to 73% increase in area burned
Amiro et al. (2009) Taiga Shield East Boreal Shield East 4% increase in mean forest floor fuel consumption (kg m−2) 5% increase in mean forest floor fuel consumption (kg m−2) 13% increase mean forest floor fuel consumption (kg m−2) 13% increase in mean forest floor fuel consumption (kg m−2)
Le Goff et al. (2009) Boreal Shield East (Waswanipi area) 4% increase in annual area burned; 22% decrease in fire risk in May. Increase in fire risk in June (4%) — August (25%) a 7% increase in annual area burned; 20% decrease in fire risk in May. Increase in fire risk in June (10%) — August (109%) a
  1. a Scenarios for 2030–2060 and 2070–2100.