Period | |||
---|---|---|---|
Publication | Ecozone | 2040–2060 | 2080–2100 |
Flannigan et al. (2001) | Taiga Shield East Boreal Shield East | ∼15% decrease in area burned ∼50% increase in area burned (south) to ∼10% decrease in area burned (north) | No data No data |
Flannigan et al. (2005) | Taiga Shield Boreal Shield East | No data No data | 111% to 112% increase in area burned 64% to 73% increase in area burned |
Amiro et al. (2009) | Taiga Shield East Boreal Shield East | 4% increase in mean forest floor fuel consumption (kg m−2) 5% increase in mean forest floor fuel consumption (kg m−2) | 13% increase mean forest floor fuel consumption (kg m−2) 13% increase in mean forest floor fuel consumption (kg m−2) |
Le Goff et al. (2009) | Boreal Shield East (Waswanipi area) | 4% increase in annual area burned; 22% decrease in fire risk in May. Increase in fire risk in June (4%) — August (25%) a | 7% increase in annual area burned; 20% decrease in fire risk in May. Increase in fire risk in June (10%) — August (109%) a |