Table 6 Fire regime scenarios for the Quebec boreal ecozones.

Flannigan et al. (2001)

Taiga Shield East Boreal Shield East

∼15% decrease in area burned ∼50% increase in area burned (south) to ∼10% decrease in area burned (north)

No data No data

Flannigan et al. (2005)

Taiga Shield Boreal Shield East

No data No data

111% to 112% increase in area burned 64% to 73% increase in area burned

Amiro et al. (2009)

Taiga Shield East Boreal Shield East

4% increase in mean forest floor fuel consumption (kg m⁻²) 5% increase in mean forest floor fuel consumption (kg m⁻²)

13% increase mean forest floor fuel consumption (kg m⁻²) 13% increase in mean forest floor fuel consumption (kg m⁻²)

Le Goff et al. (2009)

Boreal Shield East (Waswanipi area)

4% increase in annual area burned; 22% decrease in fire risk in May. Increase in fire risk in June (4%) — August (25%) ^a

7% increase in annual area burned; 20% decrease in fire risk in May. Increase in fire risk in June (10%) — August (109%) ^a