Figure 5

Modeled probability values of >10 % vs. <10 % cheatgrass cover for four fire severity and postfire precipitation scenarios: (1) high fire severity/dry postfire (high/dry) (upper left), (2) high fire severity/wet postfire (high/wet) (upper right), (3) low fire severity/dry postfire (low/dry) (lower left), and (4) low fire severity/wet postfire (low/wet) (lower right). The cheatgrass suitability arrow in the scenario diagram starts at the least likely (blue) and progresses sequentially in order of likelihood to the most likely (red arrowhead) set of conditions for postfire cheatgrass cover >10 % across the Dinosaur National Monument landscape.