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Table 5 Potential fire behavior and predicted canopy fuels for current (2013) conditions in northern New Mexico under western spruce budworm outbreak (outbreak) and non-outbreak (pre-outbreak) conditions, as modeled in the Fire and Fuels Effects-Forest Vegetation Simulator. Standard deviation shown in parentheses.

From: The Influence of Western Spruce Budworm on Fire in Spruce-Fir Forests

Potential fire behavior

 

Pre-outbreak1 (n = 6)

Outbreak2 (n = 4)

Mortality (% of basal area)

   Moderate

41.17 (5.7)

36 (9.52)

   Severe

100.00 (0)

48 (29.9)

Flame length (m)

   Moderate

0.36 (0.01)

0.43 (0.01)

   Severe

24.26 (1.14)

5.51 (8.3)

Indices (km hr −1)

   Crowning

15.44 (2.68)

29.33 (4.84)

   Torching

65.05 (16.56)

48.95 (27.6)

Predicted canopy fuels

   Canopy bulk density (kg m −3)

0.25 (0.05)

0.11 (0.02)

   Canopy base height (m)

1.23 (0.25)

1.23 (0.58)

  1. 1 FVS output from stand exam data under non-outbreak conditions.
  2. 2 FVS output from stands under western spruce budworm outbreak conditions.