A large database supports the use of simple models of post-fire tree mortality for thick-barked conifers, with less support for other species

Cansler, C. Alina; Hood, Sharon M.; van Mantgem, Phillip J.; Varner, J. Morgan

doi:10.1186/s42408-020-00082-0

Fire Ecology

Table 9 Qualitative ratings of data quality and model performance, from this study of post-fire tree mortality models from the USA, from fires occurring from 1981 to 2016. R-A = Ryan and Amman model, which can be applied to many species; Pre-fire models predict mortality after fire based on predictors available before fire; Post-fire models predict mortality after fire based on predictors available after fire. Model formulas are in Tables 5 and 6, and model variables are defined in Table 3. See Table 7 for rating criteria. Species not evaluated due to poor data quality are listed in Additional file 3

From: A large database supports the use of simple models of post-fire tree mortality for thick-barked conifers, with less support for other species

Data quality	Model performance
	Poor		Acceptable		Excellent		Outstanding
	Species	Model	Species	Model	Species	Model	Species	Model
Fair	Abies amabilis	R-A	Abies lasiocarpa	Pre-fire	Populus deltoides ssp. wislizeni	R-A	Pinus albicaulis	Pre-fire
	Acer rubrum	R-A	Abies lasiocarpa	Post-fire			Pinus ponderosa	Post-fire scorch
	Chamaecyparis lawsoniana	R-A	Abies magnifica	Pre-fire			Pinus ponderosa	Post-fire kill
	Oxydendrum arboreum	R-A	Juniperus occidentalis	R-A			Pseudotsuga menziesii	Post-fire
	Pinus coulteri	R-A	Juniperus osteosperma	R-A
	Pinus elliottii	R-A	Juniperus scopulorum	R-A
	Pinus virginiana	R-A	Notholithocarpus densiflorus	R-A
	Quercus alba	R-A	Pinus flexilis	R-A
	Quercus garryana	R-A	Pinus strobiformis	R-A
	Quercus montana		Populus tremuloides	Pre-fire low
			Populus tremuloides	Pre-fire moderate
			Tsuga mertensiana	R-A
Acceptable	Pinus attenuata	R-A	Cornus nuttallii	R-A	Larix occidentalis	Post-fire
	Pinus echinata	R-A	Juniperus deppeana	R-A	Pinus lambertiana	Post-fire
	Pinus palustris	R-A	Picea engelmannii	Pre-fire
		Pre-fire		Post-fire
	Pinus taeda	R-A	Pinus albicaulis	R-A
			Pinus edulis	R-A
			Pinus monticola	R-A
			Quercus gambelii	R-A
			Quercus kelloggii	R-A
			Thuja plicata	R-A
Excellent	Picea engelmannii	R-A	Abies concolor	Post-fire	Abies concolor	R-A	Pinus contorta	Post-fire
			Abies grandis	R-A	Abies concolor	Pre-fire	Pseudotsuga menziesii	Pre-fire
			Abies lasiocarpa	R-A	Larix occidentalis	Pre-fire
			Abies magnifica	R-A	Pinus ponderosa	Pre-fire
			Pinus contorta	R-A		Pre-fire Black Hills
			Pinus contorta	Pre-fire
			Pinus ponderosa	R-A
			Populus tremuloides	R-A
			Pseudotsuga menziesii	R-A
			Tsuga heterophylla	R-A
Outstanding			Larix occidentalis	R-A			Calocedrus decurrens	R-A
							Calocedrus decurrens	Pre-fire
							Pinus jeffreyi	R-A
							Pinus lambertiana	R-A
								Pre-fire

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