Fig. 4
From: Causal impact of fire on a globally rare wetland plant: a 40-year Bayesian time series analysis
a, b The vertical dashed red line is the beginning of the intervention with frequent fire (RX fires in 2015, 2017). a The sum of the pointwise difference between the modeled counterfactual prediction and the actual dropwort index at each time point. b The dashed blue line is the predicted Bayesian structural time series model, and counterfactual is shown from 2016 to 2021 in the post-fire intervention with the 95% confidence interval in the shaded blue highlight. The solid black line is the actual observed time series of dropwort stems counted in Maryland, USA, shown as an index from 1982 to 2021 where 1982=1