Table 2 Summary of the different simulation scenarios and their purpose within our modeling framework
Scenario | Climate Data | Purpose |
|---|---|---|
Contemporary Calibration (1992–2015) | gridMET | Calibrate model settings to reflect observed contemporary fire statistics |
Baseline (1979–2005) | gridMET | Simulations covering historical GCM period for comparison with GCM-based simulations |
Historical (1979–2005) | 8 GCMs (downscaled MACAv2-METADATA) | GCM-based simulations for the historical period |
Future (2040–2069) | 8 GCMs (downscaled MACAv2-METADATA) | GCM-based simulations for mid-twenty-first century under RCP8.5 emissions |