Fig. 2

Distribution of conditions across the Tripod study area. A Pathway groups, which were each assigned a different state and transition model based on their biophysical setting, B lightning ignition probability, C cell-level wildfire burn counts (rescaled relative to the total count) for the 3000-year simulation period, and D percentage of high-severity fire burns for each cell. The non-forest label in D refers to the 5 non-forest classes in A. The dark gray sliver in the northwest portion of the study area is Canada, which was excluded from the model runs