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Table 1 Model fit of intercept-only and interannual null models and four spatially explicit leaf litter dispersal models in longleaf pine forests in southwestern Georgia, USA from 2011–2020. The optimal parameter estimates are shown with 95% support intervals (in parentheses) except for the annual intercept model where the range across the 10-year period is shown. Parameters are defined in the methods section. R2: adjusted R2 for the model, k: number of model parameters, \(\Delta\) AICc: corrected Akaike information criterion. A “- “ indicates that the model does not include the parameter denoted in the column

From: Modeling spatial patterns of longleaf pine needle dispersal using long-term data

Parameter

Litter models

Intercept only

Annual intercept

Basal area

OAI

Isotropic

Anisotropic

αy

-

0.1908

(0.1392–0.2405)

0.0062

(0.0028–0.0096)

0.5739

(0.1892–0.8561)

0.3817

(0.2506–0.5146)

0.1428

(0.0979–0.1897)

β

-

-

-

0.3114

(0.2989–0.3389)

0.9709

(0.9612–0.9709)

1.1617

(1.1617–1.1617)

r

-

-

8.349

(8.349–8.600)

-

-

 

γ

-

-

-

1.8926

(1.8926–1.9116)

0.1969

(0.1832–0.2088)

0.2566

(0.2437–0.2642)

γ'

-

-

-

-

-

0.0966

(0.0927–0.1038)

δ

-

-

-

-

0.0000

(0.0000–0.0012)

0.0000

(0.0000–0.0006)

θd

-

-

-

-

-

5.659

(5.376–5.772)

ε

0.1915

(0.1838–0.1991)

-

0.1153

(0.1130–0.1242)

0.0861

(0.0783–0.0897)

0.0670

(0.0596–0.0695)

0.0694

(0.0659–0.0749)

R2

0.016

0.099

0.488

0.416

0.612

0.656

k

2

11

13

14

15

17

ΔAICc

736.53

681.14

276.86

373.66

82.11

0