Table 1 Goodness-of-fit of models to predict the proportion of wildfire edge (%Limited) coinciding with time since fire (TSF) transitions and covariates. Nagelkerke pseudo-R² (Nagelkerke 1991); Model1 is the null model; Number of observations = 11,745

Model1

%Limited = 1

0

157,422

137,349

11,744

Model2

%Limited = TSF

0.51

149,134

129,059

11,743

Model3

%Limited = TSF + Burn Prob

0.51

148,931

128,854

11,742

Model4

%Limited = TSF + Roads

0.52

148,885

128,808

11,742

Model5

%Limited = TSF + Water

0.51

149,128

129,052

11,742

Model6

%Limited = TSF + Fire Danger

0.53

148,583

128,546

11,738

Model7

%Limited = TSF + Burn Prob + Roads + Water + Fire Danger

0.55

148,073

127,985

11,729