Fig. 3
From: Fire regimes of the Southern Appalachians may radically shift under climate change
The distribution of binned fire sizes for ten LANDIS-II model replicates compared to historical fire size observations by Short (2021). For each fire size class, the LANDIS-II values show the proportions of fire sizes for the modeled years in the final validations (1992–2016), which correspond with the observation period for Short (2021). Note the varied y-axis. In this study, we used the LANDIS-II model to simulate the Southern Appalachians, USA, under four CMIP5 climate scenarios representing increased drought trend, increased drought variability, their combination, and a scenario with neither increase. These simulations were compared to the historical climate and each other to understand changes in fire patterns and landscape-scale changes in species composition and biomass