Table 1 The CMIP 5 climate models (Abatzoglou and Brown 2012) selected to represent the four drought outcomes for the study area and used to project the influence of varying climate scenarios on potential shifts in the wildfire regime across the Southern Appalachians. The four models selected encompass a range of plausible future climate warming and drought variability. In this study, we used the LANDIS-II model to simulate the Southern Appalachians, USA, under four CMIP5 climate scenarios representing increased drought trend, increased drought variability, their combination, and a scenario with neither increase. These simulations were compared to the historical climate and each other to understand changes in fire patterns and landscape-scale changes in species composition and biomass

From: Fire regimes of the Southern Appalachians may radically shift under climate change