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Table 3 The distribution of simulated FRI intervals across the southern Appalachians for each climate model in our study, based on the mean of all seven model replicates. The fire return intervals represent the time between fires in an individual cell on the landscape for each modeled climate scenario. In this study, we used the LANDIS-II model to simulate the Southern Appalachians, USA, under four CMIP5 climate scenarios representing increased drought trend, increased drought variability, their combination, and a scenario with neither increase. These simulations were compared to the historical climate and each other to understand changes in fire patterns and landscape-scale changes in species composition and biomass

From: Fire regimes of the Southern Appalachians may radically shift under climate change

FRI

Low T/Low V

Low T/High V

High T/Low V

High T/High V

0–25

0.00%

0.00%

0.01%

15.07%

25–50

0.00%

1.87%

5.52%

28.62%

50–100

3.70%

12.27%

20.26%

21.17%

100–200

17.01%

23.82%

26.71%

13.00%

200–Inf

79.21%

62.01%

47.37%

22.13%